Massachusetts
W-L: (10- 6) PR = 93.1341Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 131 A Army West Point Patriot (13- 3, 98.0) 8-14 207 H Merrimack MAAC ( 7- 9, 88.5) 16- 5 213 A Quinnipiac MAAC ( 5-10, 87.2) 16- 8 221 A NJIT America Eas ( 4- 9, 88.2) 18-14 225 A Brown Ivy ( 6- 7, 93.2) 11- 8 228 H Albany America Eas (11- 5, 93.0) 15- 9 303 H Massachusetts-Lowell America Eas ( 2-10, 85.1) 18- 8 307 H Vermont America Eas ( 7- 7, 91.8) 7- 6 314 A High Point Atlantic 10 ( 6- 8, 93.3) 7-15 321 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (14- 1, 99.1) 7-21 328 A St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 4-10, 87.6) 9- 7 404 H St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 ( 7- 6, 95.1) 14-12 411 H Delaware CAA ( 5- 8, 89.8) 7- 8 418 A Hobart Atlantic 10 ( 3-10, 88.8) 13-12 424 N Penn Ivy ( 7- 6, 95.5) 11-13 430 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (14- 1, 99.1) 7-11 o
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
131 A Army West Point 8-14 -6 -6 0.28
207 H Merrimack 16- 5 11 6 0.96
213 A Quinnipiac 16- 8 8 5 + 2.45
221 A NJIT 18-14 4 4 0.44
225 A Brown 11- 8 3 -1 ++ 4.42
228 H Albany 15- 9 6 1 ++ 4.53
303 H Massachusetts-Lowell 18- 8 10 9 0.00
307 H Vermont 7- 6 1 3 -1.69
314 A High Point 7-15 -8 -2 -- -5.49
321 H Richmond 7-21 -14 -5 - -2.38
328 A St Bonaventure 9- 7 2 4 - -2.20
404 H St Josephs (PA) 14-12 2 -1 + 2.59
411 H Delaware 7- 8 -1 5 -- -5.72
418 A Hobart 13-12 1 3 -1.97
424 N Penn 11-13 -2 -2 0.41
430 A Richmond 7-11 o -4 -7 + 3.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 A High Point 7-15 -8 -2 -- -5.49 411 H Delaware 7- 8 -1 5 -- -5.72 321 H Richmond 7-21 -14 -5 - -2.38 328 A St Bonaventure 9- 7 2 4 - -2.20 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 A Brown 11- 8 3 -1 ++ 4.42 228 H Albany 15- 9 6 1 ++ 4.53 213 A Quinnipiac 16- 8 8 5 + 2.45 404 H St Josephs (PA) 14-12 2 -1 + 2.59 430 A Richmond 7-11 o -4 -7 + 3.00 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Army West Poin (13- 3, 98.0) 8-14 -1.86 18.74 1.38 0.89 -0.22
3 H Merrimack ( 7- 9, 88.5) 16- 5 -11.43 9.17 -1.38 0.89 13.94
3 A Quinnipiac ( 5-10, 87.2) 16- 8 -12.69 7.91 1.38 0.89 16.61
3 A NJIT ( 4- 9, 88.2) 18-14 -11.70 8.89 1.38 0.89 18.37
3 A Brown ( 6- 7, 93.2) 11- 8 -6.72 13.88 1.38 0.89 27.29
3 H Albany (11- 5, 93.0) 15- 9 -6.86 13.74 -1.38 0.89 22.11
3 H Massachusetts- ( 2-10, 85.1) 18- 8 -14.85 5.75 -1.38 0.89 7.83
3 H Vermont ( 7- 7, 91.8) 7- 6 -8.08 12.51 -1.38 0.89 19.93
3 A High Point ( 6- 8, 93.3) 7-15 -6.63 13.97 1.38 0.89 -2.35
3 H Richmond (14- 1, 99.1) 7-21 -0.77 19.82 -1.38 0.89 -0.96
3 A St Bonaventure ( 4-10, 87.6) 9- 7 -12.34 8.26 1.38 0.89 17.23
3 H St Josephs (PA ( 7- 6, 95.1) 14-12 -4.80 15.80 -1.38 0.89 25.80
3 H Delaware ( 5- 8, 89.8) 7- 8 -10.11 10.49 -1.38 0.89 -5.14
3 A Hobart ( 3-10, 88.8) 13-12 -11.11 9.49 1.38 0.89 19.43
3 N Penn ( 7- 6, 95.5) 11-13 -4.35 16.25 -0.00 0.89 -1.95
3 A Richmond (14- 1, 99.1) 7-11 -0.77 19.82 1.38 0.89 -0.27
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177.66
|
winning pts = 188.5428 losing points = -10.8782
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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